Property insurance now takes 9.6% of the average monthly mortgage payment, a record $209 a month, according to the ICE Mortgage Monitor released September 10, 2026. Annual growth has slowed to 8.7% from a 15.1% peak at the end of 2024, and in ICE's data owners who switched private carriers over the past year cut their cost by 6.6%, the largest saving since it began tracking in 2013, while those who stayed saw 10.4% increases. For most homeowners, that means the bill is still going up, whether coverage is available depends heavily on the state, and comparing quotes at renewal now pays more than it used to.
Key takeaways
- Regulator data published August 5, 2026 show inflation-adjusted average premiums rising 18.3% to 43.3% across US regions from 2018 to 2024, while insurer-initiated nonrenewal rates rose 96% to 216%.
- The main cost drivers are larger disaster losses, higher rebuilding costs, pricier reinsurance (the insurance that insurers buy) and, in Florida, heavy claim litigation before the 2022 reforms.
- Some markets are loosening: Florida's state-backed insurer shrank from about 1.4 million policies in late 2023 to 266,231 on August 31, 2026, and California's Department of Insurance said on September 18, 2026 that State Farm General and Allstate had filed to start writing new homeowners policies again. Neither was open for new business yet.
- Percentage deductibles change the math: a 2% hurricane deductible on a $400,000 dwelling limit is $8,000, eight times a flat $1,000 deductible.
- Minimum nonrenewal notice differs by state: 75 days in California, 120 days in Florida in most cases, and 60 days in Texas for policies bought or renewed since 2024.
What it means for you
The same trend lands differently depending on where and how you own or rent.
| Your situation | What it means now | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Homeowner in California | New rate rules let insurers price with catastrophe models in exchange for writing more policies in wildfire areas. State Farm General and Allstate have filed to take new homeowners again, but the FAIR Plan (the state's insurer of last resort) still held 696,562 homeowner and commercial policies in June 2026. | Why coverage is harder to get |
| Homeowner in Florida | The market has more private insurers again and reinsurance is cheaper in 2026, but hurricane deductibles are set as a percentage of the dwelling limit. | Deductibles and escrow, worked out |
| Homeowner in Louisiana or Texas | New Orleans has the highest insurance share of the mortgage payment in ICE's data, 24.3%. Texas insurers must explain nonrenewals in writing since January 1, 2026. | Why coverage is harder to get |
| Paying through mortgage escrow | A premium increase shows up as a higher monthly payment after the servicer's escrow analysis, sometimes with a shortage to repay. | Deductibles and escrow, worked out |
| Just non-renewed | State law sets how much notice you get; use it to shop before turning to a last-resort plan. | What to do before your renewal |
| Condo owner | A unit-owner policy covers your belongings and your unit's walls, floors and ceilings; the association's building policy is a shared cost that usually reaches owners through dues. | What to do before your renewal |
| Buying a home | Insurance can be a large share of the monthly payment; get a real quote before your inspection or financing deadlines pass. | What to do before your renewal |
| Renter | Renters insurance prices rose about 3% in the year to September 2026, less than overall inflation. | Frequently asked questions |
Why premiums keep climbing
A premium is roughly expected claims plus the cost of capital, reinsurance and running the business, and each input has risen. The Treasury's Federal Insurance Office, using data on more than 246 million policies, found that average premiums per policy rose 8.7% faster than inflation from 2018 to 2022, and that homeowners in the 20% of ZIP codes with the highest expected climate-related losses paid $2,321 on average, 82% more than those in the lowest-risk fifth, according to its January 16, 2025 report.
Bigger and more frequent disaster losses
The same Treasury release cites NOAA's count of 84 billion-dollar disasters from 2018 to 2022, excluding floods, costing over $609 billion. NOAA counted 27 such disasters in 2024, then announced in May 2025 that it would stop updating the billion-dollar disaster database after the 2024 data, so there is no official federal tally for 2025 or 2026.
Rebuilding costs and higher coverage limits
Construction prices feed straight into claims. The BLS producer price index for goods used in residential construction rose about 53% from January 2020 to August 2026 (August is a preliminary figure), and that measures materials only, not labor. ICE found that rising coverage limits, up 5.5%, accounted for roughly two-thirds of the past year's cost increase, while the price per $1,000 of coverage rose 3%.
Reinsurance
Insurers buy reinsurance to cover their largest losses, and its price is passed through to policyholders. Guy Carpenter's US property catastrophe rate index jumped 31.3% at January 2023 renewals, the largest single-year rise since 2006 (industry data). That pressure is now easing: Florida's Citizens Property Insurance said on June 23, 2026 that reinsurance rates had dropped nearly 30% over the past year.
Litigation and Florida's 2022 reforms
Florida's property market was strained by claim lawsuits. Senate Bill 2-A, signed December 16, 2022, removed the one-way attorney-fee rule that had let policyholders recover legal fees from insurers in property suits, and, with limited exceptions, barred assigning post-loss benefits (for example, to a roofer) under policies issued on or after January 1, 2023. Citizens credits legislative changes, fewer lawsuits and a recovering private market, including 20 new insurers entering Florida since 2022, for its shrinking policy count.
Why coverage is harder to get
The National Association of Insurance Commissioners' August 5, 2026 analysis, based on data insurers report to state regulators for 2018 to 2024, found insurer-initiated nonrenewal rates up between 96% and 216% depending on the region. Treasury found nonrenewal rates in the highest-risk ZIP codes about 80% above those in the lowest-risk ones. A December 2024 Senate Budget Committee staff report, built on nonrenewal data from 23 insurers covering about two-thirds of the market, found increases well beyond the usual hot spots, including the Carolinas, New England and Hawaii, as reported by Claims Journal.
California: rate rules in exchange for coverage
California's Sustainable Insurance Strategy lets insurers use forward-looking catastrophe models and, under separate regulations finalized for state approval in December 2024, reinsurance costs when setting rates. In return, insurers using catastrophe models must write policies in wildfire-distressed areas at no less than 85% of their statewide market share, and the models must credit mitigation by homeowners and communities. On September 18, 2026, the Department of Insurance said State Farm General had filed to resume new homeowners business for the first time since May 2023, outside the new framework: statewide for homes meeting the IBHS Wildfire Prepared Home Enhanced standard, and in low and moderate wildfire severity zones for homes meeting its Essential standard. Allstate filed under the new framework on August 31, signaling new residential policies for the first time since 2022. Neither company was open for new business yet, and both filings remain subject to full rate review.
The California FAIR Plan is meant for people who cannot get coverage from a regular insurer. After a declared wildfire emergency, the commissioner can also block nonrenewals inside the fire perimeters and in adjoining ZIP codes; after the January 2025 Los Angeles fires, that moratorium ran one year from the emergency declaration.
Florida, Louisiana and Texas
In Florida, Citizens held 266,231 policies on August 31, 2026, down about 81% from its late-2023 peak, as private insurers took policies back. ICE's data show New Orleans and Miami as the two most expensive insurance markets, though both saw among the smallest annual increases. In Texas, the Department of Insurance says insurers must give 60 days' notice of nonrenewal for policies bought or renewed in 2024 or later (30 days for older ones), and must give a written statement of the reason for declines, cancellations and nonrenewals after January 1, 2026.
Deductibles and escrow, worked out
When premiums climb, raising the deductible is the most common lever. The NAIC consumer guide notes that higher deductibles mean lower premiums and that in some places catastrophe deductibles are a percentage rather than a dollar amount. Florida law requires insurers to offer hurricane deductibles of $500, 2%, 5% and 10% of the dwelling limit (the $500 option is not required for dwelling limits of $250,000 or more, and other bands have their own exceptions). On personal residential policies the hurricane deductible applies per calendar year, not per storm: after a first hurricane loss, the insurer can apply the greater of the remaining hurricane deductible or the regular deductible to a later hurricane that year.
Hurricane deductible = dwelling limit (Coverage A) × deductible %
Insurer pays = covered damage − deductible (never below $0)
Here the dwelling limit is the amount the policy would pay to rebuild the house itself, not its market value.
Illustrative example. A home has a $400,000 dwelling limit, a 2% hurricane deductible and a $1,000 deductible for other perils such as fire or theft.
| Covered hurricane damage | 2% deductible ($8,000): insurer pays | Flat $1,000 deductible: insurer would pay |
|---|---|---|
| $6,000 | $0 | $5,000 |
| $12,000 | $4,000 | $11,000 |
| $30,000 | $22,000 | $29,000 |
The gap is $7,000 on any hurricane claim above $8,000, and damage of $8,000 or less from the first hurricane of the year is entirely the owner's cost. At 5%, the same home's deductible would be $20,000. A lower premium bought with a higher percentage deductible only makes sense if that cash is actually available after a storm.
How escrow passes on an increase
If your lender pays insurance from an escrow account, federal rules (Regulation X, section 1024.17) govern the annual escrow analysis. A shortage of at least one month's escrow payment can be left in place or spread over at least 12 monthly payments; a smaller one can also be collected within 30 days. Servicers may keep a cushion of up to one-sixth of yearly disbursements.
Illustrative example. A premium paid from escrow rises from $2,400 to $3,000, so the account pays out $600 more than it collected. At the next analysis, the insurance part of the payment rises $50 a month for the new premium. If the servicer spreads the $600 shortage over 12 months, that adds another $50: about $100 more a month for a year, then $50 more. If it also raises its cushion to the new maximum (one-sixth of $3,000 is $500, or $100 more than one-sixth of $2,400), the shortage becomes about $700, or roughly $58 a month, for a first-year total near $108. A servicer may instead let a shortage stand, so check the escrow statement. To see what a premium increase costs over the years ahead, enter the old and new premium, billed yearly, in the price increase calculator.
Frequently asked questions
Why doesn't the inflation rate show home insurance rising this fast?
The Consumer Price Index item called "tenants' and household insurance" prices renters' policies only; it does not price coverage on the structure or homeowners' liability. That index rose about 3.0% from September 2025 to September 2026, compared with 3.7% for all items. Homeowners premiums are better tracked by regulator data and industry series such as ICE's.
Can an insurer drop me just because of storm claims?
It depends on the state. Florida law bars an insurer from using claims caused by acts of God as a reason to cancel or nonrenew a property policy, unless it can show the owner failed to take steps the insurer reasonably requested to prevent a repeat; an insurer can still nonrenew for other reasons with the required notice, although after a covered loss the law generally delays cancellation or nonrenewal until the home is repaired (for damage from a declared hurricane, until 90 days after repairs). In Texas, the Department of Insurance lists three or more non-weather claims in three years as a reason a company may nonrenew; insurers can still nonrenew for other reasons, such as limiting the coverage they sell in an area.
Does my homeowners policy cover flood damage?
No. The NAIC guide states that homeowners policies don't cover flood damage, which is insured through the National Flood Insurance Program or private flood insurers. Lenders usually require it for homes in a flood plain.
Is it safe to lower my dwelling coverage to cut the premium?
It can backfire. The NAIC guide warns that if dwelling coverage falls below 80% of the home's full replacement cost, the insurer may reduce what it pays on a claim. Ask the insurer how it estimated the replacement cost before changing the limit.
What does the California FAIR Plan cover?
According to the Department of Insurance, it currently offers a limited fire policy, with residential limits up to $3 million per location. For water damage, liability or theft, owners pair it with a separate "difference in conditions" policy; a comprehensive FAIR Plan option was listed as in progress when checked in October 2026.
What to do before your renewal
This article is general education, not insurance or legal advice; policy terms and state rules vary, so confirm details with your insurer, a licensed agent or your state insurance department.
- Read the renewal offer as soon as it arrives. Florida insurers must give at least 45 days' notice of the renewal premium and 120 days' notice of nonrenewal in most cases; for most homeowners policies, California requires at least 75 days' notice, a specific reason for nonrenewal, and information on the FAIR Plan and the state's Home Insurance Finder.
- Compare at least three quotes for the same dwelling limit and deductibles. State tools help: California's Home Insurance Finder and Texas's HelpInsure sample-rate comparison.
- Check your dwelling limit against current rebuilding costs before cutting it.
- Ask what each deductible is in dollars, including any hurricane, wind or hail percentage, and keep that amount set aside.
- Ask about mitigation credits. California requires insurers to offer discounts for Safer from Wildfires measures such as upgraded roofs and windows and defensible space; My Safe Florida Home offers free wind-mitigation inspections and grants of up to $10,000 when funding is open; according to Brookings, Strengthen Alabama Homes pays up to $10,000 toward FORTIFIED roofs.
- If you are non-renewed, shop the regular market first, then ask a licensed agent about your state's last-resort plan.
- If you pay through escrow, send the new declarations page to your servicer and check the next escrow statement for a shortage.
Sources
- ICE: September 2026 Mortgage Monitor press release (September 10, 2026)
- NAIC: National analysis of homeowners insurance market trends (August 5, 2026)
- NAIC: A Consumer's Guide to Home Insurance
- US Treasury, Federal Insurance Office: homeowners insurance report (January 16, 2025)
- Claims Journal: Senate Budget Committee nonrenewal report (December 19, 2024)
- FOX Weather: NOAA retires billion-dollar disaster database (May 8, 2025)
- BLS: PPI, inputs to residential construction, goods
- BLS: CPI factsheet on tenants' and household insurance
- Guy Carpenter: US property catastrophe rate-on-line index, 2000–2023
- Citizens Property Insurance: 2026 reinsurance release (June 23, 2026)
- Citizens Property Insurance: policies in force, August 31, 2026
- Florida Senate: SB 2-A (2022), Chapter 2022-271
- Florida Statutes section 627.701 (deductibles)
- Florida Statutes section 627.4133 (notice of nonrenewal)
- California Department of Insurance: insurers move to reopen (September 18, 2026)
- California Department of Insurance: Sustainable Insurance Strategy
- California Department of Insurance: catastrophe modeling regulation (November 14, 2024)
- California Department of Insurance: California FAIR Plan
- California Department of Insurance: wildfire moratorium (January 15, 2025)
- California Department of Insurance: Safer from Wildfires regulation (October 17, 2022)
- California Insurance Code section 678
- California Home Insurance Finder
- Texas Department of Insurance: home insurance canceled or not renewed
- HelpInsure (Texas Department of Insurance and Office of Public Insurance Counsel)
- CFPB: Regulation X, 12 CFR 1024.17 (escrow accounts)
- My Safe Florida Home
- Brookings: state incentives for home hardening (March 3, 2026)